4- VISIONS - Expected, preferred and alternative futures (10-15 years)

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THE IMPACT AND

UNPREDICTABILITY

OF HUMAN ACTIONS ON

THE ENVIRONMENT

Human actions can have unpredictable, uncertain, and

complex consequences on the environment because the

environment

is

a

complex

system

with

many

interdependent components. Human actions can afect

the environment in multiple ways, sometimes in

unexpected and unpredictable ways. For example, when

people build a new factory, they may not anticipate the

impact it will have on the air quality, water quality, or soil

health in the surrounding area. Similarly, when humans

introduce a new species of plant or animal to an

ecosystem, they may not realize the impact it will have on

the existing plants and animals in that ecosystem.

Moreover,

environmental

systems

are

highly

interconnected, meaning that changes in one part of the

system can have unforeseen consequences in other parts

of the system. These consequences can sometimes emerge

over long time frames, making them difcult to predict in

advance. Additionally, environmental systems often have

nonlinear responses to human actions, meaning that small

changes can have large, unexpected impacts.

Overall, the complexity of environmental systems, coupled

with the unpredictability and uncertainty of human

actions, means that the consequences of human actions

on the environment can be highly uncertain and difcult

to predict.

Over the past ffty years, there have been many

environmental disasters that have had serious

consequences. These

disasters

have

led

to

important advances in science, engineering, and

policy, as we work to prevent or reduce the impact

of future disasters. By studying these disasters that

have happened on land, in water, and in the

atmosphere, we can better understand what went

wrong and how we can do better in the future. We

can also imagine new solutions to help prevent or

minimize future disasters. This ongoing efort to

learn from the past and improve the future is

essential for protecting our planet and our

well-being.

HUMANS INDUCE AND

REDUCE ENVIRONMENTAL

DISASTERS

AN UNPREDICTABLE

ENVIRONMENT

In this video segment adapted from the International

Institute for Sustainable Development, Inuit observers

share how their traditional knowledge of weather

patterns is being disrupted by unpredictable weather

behaviors. A female Inuit elder explains how, in the

past, women and girls were responsible for forecasting

the weather for hunting trips using traditional knowl-

edge. However, recent changes in climate have made it

difcult to predict the weather and associated animal

behaviors, which is afecting their subsistence lifestyle.

This highlights the impact that climate change can

have on traditional knowledge and ways of life.

HOW HUMANS

DISRUPTED A CYCLE

ESSENTIAL TO ALL LIFE

"How one animal dug up carbon and put it back into

the atmosphere at an astounding pace."

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